10D RISK SCORE
—/ 100
UNAVAILABLELOW <30 · WATCH 30–<50 · ELEVATED 50–<70 · HIGH ≥70
U.S. MARKET INTELLIGENCE
10-Day Financial Market Stress Outlook
Independent market model · Current conditions and forward-looking signals
Loading U.S. market observations…
U.S. Market Stress Index
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Equal-weighted equity, volatility and credit stress composite.
Deployment Model
XGBoost · U.S.
Forecast horizon: 10 Trading Days
Validation: Purged Walk-Forward OOS
Last observation: —
SPY—
VIX—
Baa–Treasury—
CURRENT MARKET ASSESSMENT
The latest model assessment is unavailable.
Equity: unavailable · Volatility: unavailable · Credit: unavailable. Effects aggregate only the leading SHAP factors supplied by the API.
Major SHAP drivers are unavailable. These contributions explain model output and do not establish causation.
CURRENT RISK DRIVERS
EquityUnavailable
VolatilityUnavailable
CreditUnavailable
SHAP / MODEL DRIVERS
Date unavailable · — features
RISK INCREASING
No increasing contributions available.
RISK REDUCING
No reducing contributions available.
SHAP values represent model-output contributions, not probability-point changes.
HISTORICAL MARKET CONDITIONS
HISTORICAL 10-DAY OOS SCORE & EQUITY
Purged walk-forward out-of-sample scores · score / 100 on left axis; equity on right axis.
Historical data unavailable for these indicators.
MARKET STRESS INDEX
Current stress composite of equity, volatility and credit conditions.
Historical data unavailable for these indicators.
VOLATILITY & CREDIT CONDITIONS
VIX on left axis · Baa–Treasury spread (percentage points) on right axis.
Historical data unavailable for these indicators.
Model outputs are decision-support signals, not investment recommendations. Scores are not necessarily calibrated event probabilities.